Siddhartha1

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +31.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$6,483No · avg 64¢ → 68¢ · $124.9k Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?+$833No · avg 95.3¢ → 96.9¢ · $53.1k Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?−$731Yes · avg 78¢ → 76¢ · $33.1k Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?+$780No · avg 93.3¢ → 95.9¢ · $28.8k Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?+$375No · avg 94¢ → 95.5¢ · $23.9k Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?+$1,875No · avg 78¢ → 86¢ · $21.4k Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?+$660Yes · avg 59¢ → 62¢ · $13.6k Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?+$81No · avg 98.1¢ → 98.8¢ · $12.8k

Price-adjusted edge

+31.0 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.7

Flagged volume

$54.9k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.2 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$270.0k

Last 30 days +$147.0k · $5.67M volume · 10,355 trades · since Sep 17, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$1.14M

Open P&L · 63 positions

−$872.9k

Closed-position win rate

90%

71 closed

Wallet age · markets

37d

127 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	1	0.7	+31.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?	LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢	$20.7k	69%	27d ago	called
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	LOW BUY No @ 52¢	$18.2k	52%	27d ago	excluded
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?	LOW BUY No @ 64¢	$16.0k	64%	35d ago	excluded

Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?called

BUY Yes @ 69¢$20.7k

LOW Siddhartha1 · 27d ago

Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?excluded

BUY No @ 52¢$18.2k

LOW Siddhartha1 · 27d ago

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?excluded

BUY No @ 64¢$16.0k

LOW Siddhartha1 · 35d ago

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