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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did -19.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-19.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$58.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$19.6k
Last 30 days −$4,776 · $196.3k volume · 27 trades · since Sep 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$19.6k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
50%
10 closed
Wallet age · markets
37d
10 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.4 | -19.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 69¢ | $19.3k | missed |
 Lions vs. Bills | LOW BUY Bills @ 70¢ | $23.2k | called |
 Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0ced59…