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What this means. A wallet put $188.5k on Broncos, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It won. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Rams vs. Broncoscalled
$188.5k
BUY Broncos @ 50¢ · 376,979 shares
Size ≥ $100k3.3× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet gmpm2 took Broncos (buy) for $188.5k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Broncos, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $188.5k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Broncos wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
50¢
Implied odds
50.0%
As American odds
−100 no vig
Size
$188.5k
Placed
Sep 27, 18:07 EDT
Market close
Sep 27, 20:20 EDT
Result
Broncos
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
gmpm2
Tx
0xc9c85213…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-6.9 pts
expected 10.2 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +50 pts
Broncos price · entry 50¢ · resolved Broncos
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 50¢ · $188.5k WHALE $188.5K @ 50¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Rams vs. BroncosLOW SELL Broncos @ 99.9¢ $33.0k0% kkookkoo26d agoexcluded
Rams vs. BroncosLOW SELL Broncos @ 99.9¢ $11.6k0% popay14126d agoexcluded
Rams vs. BroncosLOW BUY Broncos @ 69¢ $25.0k69% wr0ngw4yb3tt0r26d agoexcluded
Rams vs. BroncosMED BUY Rams @ 36¢ $76.2k36% 0x2c33…056326d agoexcluded
Rams vs. BroncosLOW BUY Broncos @ 85¢ $12.8k85% AgriasOaks26d agoexcluded
Rams vs. BroncosLOW SELL Broncos @ 85¢ $16.4k15% 0x3mf379C47E653dafa1538426d agoexcluded