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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -70.2 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-70.2 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$3.09M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±45.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1.48M
Last 30 days +$0 · $6.01M volume · 611 trades · since Sep 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.02M
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$2.46M
Closed-position win rate
100%
1 closed
Wallet age · markets
32d
2 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -70.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | HIGH BUY Atlanta Braves @ 70¢ | $2.13M | missed |
 Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | HIGH BUY New York Yankees @ 59¢ | $956.4k | excluded |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xc29cd8f36242f58938ea9f10dc07fd269d592d10"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xc29cd8f36242f58938ea9f10dc07fd269d592d10.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc29cd8…