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What this means. A wallet put $2.13M on Atlanta Braves, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$2.13M
BUY Atlanta Braves @ 70¢ · 3,034,041 shares in 8 fills
Size ≥ $250k8 fills in 1hFresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet 0xc29c…2d10 took Atlanta Braves (buy) for $2.13M at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 70% chance for that side. The market resolved Cincinnati Reds, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $2.13M+3
8 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−235American odds
$1.00paid per share if Atlanta Braves wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 70.2%
- As American odds
- −235 no vig
- Size
- $2.13M
- Placed
- Sep 22, 16:46 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 22, 19:15 EDT
- Result
- Cincinnati Reds
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xc29c…2d10
- Tx
- 0x82274e18…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-70.2 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -70 ptsAtlanta Braves price · entry 70¢ · resolved Cincinnati Reds
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 91¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 91¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 28¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 40¢ | $34.1k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 68¢ | $49.0k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 69¢ | $19.3k | missed |