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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +20.4 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+20.4 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$15.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±40.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$62.0k
Last 30 days +$671 · $35.03M volume · 125,134 trades · since Feb 20, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$289.5k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
611d
3738 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +20.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL No @ 20¢ | $15.3k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0a7ed1…