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What this means. A wallet put $15.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.3k
SELL No @ 20¢ · 75,023 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet LEONIDOVITCH1983 took No (sell) for $15.3k at an average 20¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 20¢
- Implied odds
- 79.6%
- Size
- $15.3k
- Placed
- Sep 19, 15:07 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 21, 08:43 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- LEONIDOVITCH1983
- Tx
- 0x0bcb50e2…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+20.4 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +20 ptsNo price · entry 20¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $149.8k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.8k | excluded |