← Wallets
+$369No · avg 90.5¢ → 96.2¢ · $6,161+$571No · avg 86¢ → 95¢ · $6,029+$257No · avg 86¢ → 95.8¢ · $2,486+$231No · avg 80¢ → 96.9¢ · $1,320
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -43.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-43.7 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$15.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$13.4k
Last 30 days +$206 · $183.9k volume · 29 trades · since Jan 21, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$4,847
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$18.3k
Closed-position win rate
75%
8 closed
Wallet age · markets
276d
15 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -43.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 44¢ | $15.4k | missed |
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