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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did +11.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+11.3 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$446.9k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$35.2k
Last 30 days +$189.4k · $7.94M volume · 4,163 trades · since Sep 27, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.88M
Open P&L · 68 positions
−$1.83M
Closed-position win rate
100%
68 closed
Wallet age · markets
27d
136 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 1.7 | +11.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 51¢ | $15.3k | called |
| Colts vs. Commanders | HIGH BUY Colts @ 66¢ | $277.2k | called |
| Vikings vs. Buccaneers | MED BUY Buccaneers @ 49¢ | $154.3k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe4a573…