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What this means. A wallet put $333.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It won. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$333.0k
BUY Yes @ 48¢ · 692,253 shares in 14 fills
Size ≥ $250k14 fills in 1h10× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet RichieRicher took Yes (buy) for $333.0k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $333.0k+3
14 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.1%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $333.0k
- Placed
- Sep 26, 08:49 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 26, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- RichieRicher
- Tx
- 0x417c4d85…
This wallet's graded record
9/12+17.3 pts
expected 6.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +52 ptsYes price · entry 48¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.1¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 84¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | MED BUY No @ 83¢ | $25.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | MED BUY No @ 55¢ | $98.7k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | LOW BUY No @ 54¢ | $23.8k | excluded |