0xd3a0…f136

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -21.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

-21.5 pts

Called / graded

0/2

Expected from price

0.4

Flagged volume

$348.9k

Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.8 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$1.19M

Last 30 days −$436.0k · $14.72M volume · 3,271 trades · since Aug 29, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$1.92M

Open P&L · 96 positions

−$3.12M

Closed-position win rate

92%

51 closed

Wallet age · markets

56d

142 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	2	0	0.4	-21.5 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Broncos vs. 49ers	LOW BUY Broncos @ 44¢	$15.8k	44%	20d ago	excluded
Cowboys vs. Texans	MED BUY Texans @ 68¢	$56.4k 3.2× usual	68%	20d ago	excluded
Rams vs. Eagles	LOW BUY Eagles @ 46¢	$34.0k	46%	20d ago	excluded
Vikings vs. Buccaneers	LOW BUY Vikings @ 73¢	$14.3k	73%	27d ago	excluded
Ravens vs. Cowboys	LOW BUY Ravens @ 69¢	$14.3k	69%	27d ago	excluded
Chiefs vs. Dolphins	LOW BUY Dolphins @ 16¢	$11.5k	16%	27d ago	missed
Giants vs. Rams	MED BUY Giants @ 27¢	$28.5k	27%	33d ago	missed
Raiders vs. Chargers	LOW BUY Chargers @ 48¢	$13.3k	48%	34d ago	excluded
Bengals vs. Texans	LOW BUY Bengals @ 43¢	$13.1k	43%	34d ago	excluded
Packers vs. Jets	LOW BUY Packers @ 62¢	$28.5k	62%	34d ago	excluded
US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff	LOW BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 32¢	$19.2k	32%	45d ago	excluded
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$99.9k 5.7× usual	0%	46d ago	excluded

Broncos vs. 49ersexcluded

BUY Broncos @ 44¢$15.8k

LOW 0xd3a0…f136 · 20d ago

Cowboys vs. Texansexcluded

BUY Texans @ 68¢$56.4k

MED 0xd3a0…f136 · 20d ago

Rams vs. Eaglesexcluded

BUY Eagles @ 46¢$34.0k

LOW 0xd3a0…f136 · 20d ago

Vikings vs. Buccaneersexcluded

BUY Vikings @ 73¢$14.3k

LOW 0xd3a0…f136 · 27d ago

Ravens vs. Cowboysexcluded

BUY Ravens @ 69¢$14.3k

LOW 0xd3a0…f136 · 27d ago

Chiefs vs. Dolphinsmissed

BUY Dolphins @ 16¢$11.5k

LOW 0xd3a0…f136 · 27d ago

Giants vs. Ramsmissed

BUY Giants @ 27¢$28.5k

MED 0xd3a0…f136 · 33d ago

Raiders vs. Chargersexcluded

BUY Chargers @ 48¢$13.3k

LOW 0xd3a0…f136 · 34d ago

Bengals vs. Texansexcluded

BUY Bengals @ 43¢$13.1k

LOW 0xd3a0…f136 · 34d ago

Packers vs. Jetsexcluded

BUY Packers @ 62¢$28.5k

LOW 0xd3a0…f136 · 34d ago

US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauffexcluded

BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 32¢$19.2k

LOW 0xd3a0…f136 · 45d ago

Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$99.9k

LOW 0xd3a0…f136 · 46d ago

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