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Spread: Rams (-2.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $98.8k on Rams, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has a proven record: +21.0 pts vs the price over 28 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Rams (-2.5)missed$98.8k
BUY Rams @ 49¢ · 201,710 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hProven wallet5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet BrotherObama took Rams (buy) for $98.8k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Broncos, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $98.8k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Rams wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $98.8k
- Placed
- Sep 27, 15:34 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 27, 20:20 EDT
- Result
- Broncos
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BrotherObama
- Tx
- 0xc9b4a2fa…
This wallet's graded record
20/28+21.0 pts
expected 14.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsRams price · entry 49¢ · resolved Broncos
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rams (-2.5) | LOW BUY Rams @ 45¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Spread: Rams (-2.5) | LOW BUY Rams @ 47¢ | $22.7k | missed |
| Spread: Rams (-2.5) | LOW BUY Broncos @ 53¢ | $50.8k | called |
| Spread: Rams (-2.5) | LOW BUY Broncos @ 52¢ | $23.7k | called |
| Spread: Rams (-2.5) | LOW BUY Rams @ 48¢ | $11.3k | missed |
| Spread: Rams (-2.5) | LOW BUY Rams @ 48¢ | $18.7k | missed |