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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -48.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-48.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$76.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$34.2k
Last 30 days −$127.7k · $3.20M volume · 1,938 trades · since Aug 26, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$30.0k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$4,230
Closed-position win rate
50%
246 closed
Wallet age · markets
59d
245 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -48.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Raiders vs. Saints | LOW BUY Saints @ 89¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Vikings vs. Buccaneers | LOW BUY Vikings @ 73¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Raiders vs. Saints | LOW BUY Raiders @ 52¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Spread: Rams (-2.5) | LOW BUY Rams @ 48¢ | $11.3k | missed |
 Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | LOW BUY No @ 52¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Raiders vs. Chargers | LOW BUY Chargers @ 64¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5f3874…