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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -22.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-22.6 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$89.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$188
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.44M volume · 2,470 trades · since May 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$188
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
33%
33 closed
Wallet age · markets
147d
31 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -24.0 pts |
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -21.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 24¢ | $16.8k | missed |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | MED SELL Yes @ 79¢ | $72.3k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xdc7d72…