IvanShepa

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +23.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?+$20Yes · avg 9.9¢ → 11¢ · $217 Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?−$40Yes · avg 10¢ → 1.2¢ · $6

Price-adjusted edge

+23.0 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.8

Flagged volume

$45.0k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±42.1 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$901

Last 30 days −$28 · $182.7k volume · 120 trades · since May 01, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$190

Open P&L · 15 positions

−$688

Closed-position win rate

43%

14 closed

Wallet age · markets

541d

29 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Politics	1	1	0.8	+23.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢	$45.0k	77%	36d ago	called

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?called

BUY Yes @ 77¢$45.0k

LOW IvanShepa · 36d ago

Share this record

<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x5c96b9078beadf1f26c798f0513e1d33ba136577"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x5c96b9078beadf1f26c798f0513e1d33ba136577.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5c96b9…