WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $21.6k on Rams, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Rams vs. Broncosmissed
$21.6k
BUY Rams @ 54¢ · 40,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet bands1 took Rams (buy) for $21.6k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Broncos, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $21.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Rams wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
54¢
Implied odds
54.0%
As American odds
−117 no vig
Size
$21.6k
Placed
Sep 27, 15:55 EDT
Market close
Sep 27, 20:20 EDT
Result
Broncos
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
bands1
Tx
0xadcb698e…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-10.8 pts
expected 3.6 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -54 pts
Rams price · entry 54¢ · resolved Broncos
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 54¢ · $21.6k WHALE $21.6K @ 54¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Rams vs. BroncosLOW SELL Broncos @ 99.9¢ $33.0k0% kkookkoo26d agoexcluded
Rams vs. BroncosLOW SELL Broncos @ 99.9¢ $11.6k0% popay14126d agoexcluded
Rams vs. BroncosLOW BUY Broncos @ 69¢ $25.0k69% wr0ngw4yb3tt0r26d agoexcluded
Rams vs. BroncosMED BUY Rams @ 36¢ $76.2k36% 0x2c33…056326d agoexcluded
Rams vs. BroncosLOW BUY Broncos @ 85¢ $12.8k85% AgriasOaks26d agoexcluded
Rams vs. BroncosLOW SELL Broncos @ 85¢ $16.4k15% 0x3mf379C47E653dafa1538426d agoexcluded