← Wallets
+$5,638Yes · avg 69¢ → 83¢ · $34.6k+$459No · avg 92.7¢ → 94.7¢ · $21.8k+$50No · avg 72¢ → 72¢ · $7,250 · 1 proven with, 0 against+$0Yes · avg 71¢ → 71¢ · $4,437−$660Yes · avg 40¢ → 34¢ · $4,140+$50Yes · avg 73¢ → 74¢ · $3,700+$75Yes · avg 83¢ → 86¢ · $2,565−$120Yes · avg 84¢ → 80¢ · $2,400
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +23.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+23.3 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$23.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±42.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$15.2k
Last 30 days +$6,322 · $349.7k volume · 468 trades · since Aug 26, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$16.4k
Open P&L · 30 positions
+$7,719
Closed-position win rate
100%
4 closed
Wallet age · markets
59d
34 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +23.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $23.0k | called |
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