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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +46.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+46.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$24.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$82.4k
Last 30 days −$84.9k · $813.5k volume · 162 trades · since Aug 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$142.6k
Open P&L · 36 positions
−$218.6k
Closed-position win rate
92%
48 closed
Wallet age · markets
69d
85 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +46.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $24.3k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8606aa…