Weekly report card
Week 2026-26
Jun 22, 00:00 EDT – Jun 28, 23:59 EDT · markets that resolved this week
Price-adjusted edge
-0.8 pts
Called
218/389
Expected from price
221.1
Std. error
±2.4
In week 2026-26, 389 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 218 times; entry prices implied 221.1. Whales did no better than the price (-0.8 pts). One week is a small sample.
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 389 | 218 | 221.1 | -0.8 pts |
Best calls (lowest implied odds that won)
Biggest misses
Every graded flag
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-06-26? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $2.07M | called |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | HIGH BUY No @ 44¢ | $1.97M 2.1× usual |
missed |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $1.15M | called |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $899.5k | missed |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $877.5k 18.6× usual |
called |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | HIGH BUY No @ 47¢ | $740.0k 3.0× usual |
missed |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $737.8k 11.6× usual |
called |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $605.9k 4.4× usual |
missed |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $530.0k 8.6× usual |
called |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED BUY No @ 47¢ | $500.0k | missed |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $500.0k | called |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED BUY No @ 47¢ | $490.0k | missed |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $485.8k 7.9× usual |
called |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $450.0k | called |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | HIGH BUY No @ 41¢ | $401.6k | missed |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | HIGH BUY No @ 40¢ | $314.0k | missed |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $300.0k | called |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | HIGH BUY No @ 43¢ | $300.0k | missed |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | HIGH BUY No @ 43¢ | $300.0k | missed |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $300.0k | called |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $258.9k 7.8× usual |
called |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $247.5k 3.5× usual |
called |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $223.4k | missed |
| New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 | MED BUY Over @ 51¢ | $211.3k | called |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED BUY No @ 47¢ | $205.7k 5.1× usual |
missed |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | HIGH BUY No @ 32¢ | $198.8k 5.3× usual |
missed |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $197.4k 7.2× usual |
missed |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED BUY No @ 43¢ | $193.5k 2.9× usual |
missed |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $190.1k 2.1× usual |
called |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 48¢ | $186.7k 3.7× usual |
called |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 49¢ | $184.8k | called |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | HIGH BUY No @ 51¢ | $175.8k 8.1× usual |
called |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $174.2k 2.8× usual |
called |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | MED BUY England @ 68¢ | $163.1k 4.0× usual |
called |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $162.0k 4.8× usual |
called |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $159.0k 3.6× usual |
missed |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $159.0k 2.5× usual |
missed |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | MED BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $157.3k 2.5× usual |
called |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | MED BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $155.0k | missed |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 63¢ | $153.2k 4.1× usual |
missed |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $147.9k 2.4× usual |
missed |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED BUY No @ 47¢ | $141.0k 4.1× usual |
missed |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 47¢ | $139.7k 6.7× usual |
called |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | MED BUY No @ 42¢ | $136.6k 4.1× usual |
missed |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | HIGH BUY No @ 57¢ | $136.4k 3.1× usual |
missed |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | MED BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $133.2k 6.9× usual |
missed |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | MED BUY No @ 41¢ | $123.0k 3.6× usual |
missed |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $118.3k 7.2× usual |
called |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED BUY No @ 44¢ | $115.5k | missed |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | HIGH BUY No @ 51¢ | $115.2k 5.3× usual |
called |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | MED BUY Under @ 53¢ | $113.9k | called |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | MED BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $111.4k | called |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | MED BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $110.0k | called |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $103.8k 3.8× usual |
missed |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | MED BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $103.3k | missed |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | MED BUY No @ 40¢ | $100.0k 3.1× usual |
missed |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | MED BUY Yes @ 83¢ | $99.1k 3.4× usual |
missed |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | MED BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $99.0k | called |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | MED BUY Yes @ 83¢ | $99.0k | missed |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | MED BUY Yes @ 83¢ | $99.0k | called |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | MED BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $98.6k 3.4× usual |
called |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $98.4k | missed |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $98.2k | missed |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $98.0k | called |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $96.9k | called |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $96.5k 3.5× usual |
called |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | MED BUY No @ 56¢ | $96.0k 2.1× usual |
missed |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 48¢ | $94.4k | called |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $92.6k 4.7× usual |
missed |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | MED BUY No @ 52¢ | $91.6k | called |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY No @ 56¢ | $88.9k | missed |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $88.1k | called |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ | $87.6k 6.0× usual |
missed |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $87.1k | called |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | MED BUY Portugal @ 58¢ | $84.8k 3.9× usual |
called |
| Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Under @ 68¢ | $84.6k | called |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | MED BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $84.5k | called |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 38¢ | $84.4k | called |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED BUY No @ 45¢ | $84.3k | missed |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 47¢ | $84.2k 3.9× usual |
called |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | MED BUY England @ 68¢ | $83.3k 2.1× usual |
called |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | MED BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $83.1k | called |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 35¢ | $81.0k | called |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED BUY No @ 42¢ | $80.3k | missed |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $75.4k 2.7× usual |
called |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | MED BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $75.1k | called |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED BUY No @ 41¢ | $74.5k | missed |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $73.1k 2.2× usual |
called |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $71.1k | called |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Over @ 45¢ | $69.6k | called |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $69.0k 4.7× usual |
called |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $66.5k 2.4× usual |
called |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $65.0k | missed |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 47¢ | $65.0k | called |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $64.5k 6.5× usual |
called |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | MED BUY No @ 39¢ | $63.9k 3.4× usual |
missed |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $63.1k | missed |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 47¢ | $62.0k | called |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | MED BUY No @ 51¢ | $61.8k | called |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | MED BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $61.0k 3.5× usual |
called |
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