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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did -41.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-41.3 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$814.8k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$148.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.68M volume · 102 trades · since Nov 13, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$394.3k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$241.5k
Closed-position win rate
44%
62 closed
Wallet age · markets
345d
69 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 0 | 1.2 | -41.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $98.2k | missed |
 Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 37¢ | $82.0k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | MED BUY Spurs @ 33¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | MED SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $295.8k 6.0× usual |
excluded |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | MED BUY Knicks @ 37¢ | $109.6k 2.2× usual |
called |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 41¢ | $42.4k | missed |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Spurs @ 42¢ | $48.9k | excluded |
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | LOW SELL Sean Strickland @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | LOW BUY Raptors @ 27¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
 Seahawks vs. Patriots | LOW BUY Patriots @ 33¢ | $20.0k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xcc5bd3…