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What this means. A wallet put $96.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-4.4 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$96.0k
BUY No @ 56¢ · 171,352 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1h2.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet umeax took No (buy) for $96.0k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $96.0k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−127American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 56¢
- Implied odds
- 56.0%
- As American odds
- −127 no vig
- Size
- $96.0k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 11:12 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 22, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- umeax
- Tx
- 0xe6ac6cff…
This wallet's graded record
14/35-4.4 pts
expected 15.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -56 ptsNo price · entry 56¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | MED SELL Yes @ 96¢ | $86.7k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $128.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $80.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $47.6k 2.3× usual |
excluded |