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Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $128.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?excluded$128.7k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 128,792 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet Z-one took Yes (sell) for $128.7k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $128.7k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $128.7k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 22:03 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 22, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Z-one
- Tx
- 0x9979d013…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | MED SELL Yes @ 96¢ | $86.7k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $80.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $47.6k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |