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Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $86.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?excluded$86.7k
SELL Yes @ 96¢ · 90,321 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)4.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet suntori took Yes (sell) for $86.7k at an average 96¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $86.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96¢
- Implied odds
- 4.0%
- As American odds
- +2400 no vig
- Size
- $86.7k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 22:06 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 22, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- suntori
- Tx
- 0x9aa437ce…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -4 ptsYes price · entry 96¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $128.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $80.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $47.6k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |