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What this means. A wallet put $69.6k on Over, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$69.6k
BUY Over @ 45¢ · 154,704 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet PatienceCapital took Over (buy) for $69.6k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Over, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $69.6k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 45.0%
- As American odds
- +122 no vig
- Size
- $69.6k
- Placed
- Jun 24, 08:41 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 24, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- PatienceCapital
- Tx
- 0x1abe12fb…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+55.0 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +55 ptsOver price · entry 45¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $36.2k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $53.3k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 54¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 47¢ | $23.2k | excluded |