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What this means. A wallet put $84.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$84.2k
BUY No @ 47¢ · 179,138 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hProven wallet4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took No (buy) for $84.2k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $84.2k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 47.0%
- As American odds
- +113 no vig
- Size
- $84.2k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 01:10 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x5e211e57…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +53 ptsNo price · entry 47¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | HIGH BUY No @ 93¢ | $163.7k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $52.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 45¢ | $141.5k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $46.7k | excluded |