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What this means. A wallet put $115.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$115.2k
BUY No @ 51¢ · 225,918 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $100k4 fills in 1hProven wallet5.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took No (buy) for $115.2k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $115.2k+2
4 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $115.2k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 10:18 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 27, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x67dac0f2…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +49 ptsNo price · entry 51¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 29¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 29¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY No @ 69¢ | $27.5k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $90.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |