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Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $14.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 71% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?excluded$14.2k
SELL Yes @ 29¢ · 48,930 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ErmenegildoZegna took Yes (sell) for $14.2k at an average 29¢. At that price the market implied a 71% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 29¢
- Implied odds
- 71.1%
- As American odds
- −246 no vig
- Size
- $14.2k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 21:01 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 27, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ErmenegildoZegna
- Tx
- 0xe20f4d66…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+2.0 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 29¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY No @ 69¢ | $27.5k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $90.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $22.4k | excluded |