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Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $22.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?excluded$22.4k
BUY Yes @ 51¢ · 44,138 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ReggaeJoe took Yes (buy) for $22.4k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.4k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−103American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 50.9%
- As American odds
- −103 no vig
- Size
- $22.4k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 20:12 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 27, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ReggaeJoe
- Tx
- 0x9ff063c3…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsYes price · entry 51¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 29¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 29¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY No @ 69¢ | $27.5k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $90.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |