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What this means. A wallet put $211.3k on Over, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$211.3k
BUY Over @ 51¢ · 412,534 shares in 8 fills
Size ≥ $100k8 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet 0x4924…3782 took Over (buy) for $211.3k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Over, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $211.3k+2
8 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−105American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.2%
- As American odds
- −105 no vig
- Size
- $211.3k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 05:18 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 26, 23:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4924…3782
- Tx
- 0x951ffdaa…
This wallet's graded record
6/11+2.5 pts
expected 5.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +49 ptsOver price · entry 51¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 52¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 | MED BUY Under @ 49¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 45¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
| New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 | MED BUY Under @ 53¢ | $30.2k | excluded |
| New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 42¢ | $28.0k | excluded |
| New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 | MED BUY Over @ 58¢ | $98.9k 4.6× usual |
excluded |