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New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5excluded
What this means. A wallet put $18.6k on Over, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.6k
BUY Over @ 45¢ · 41,416 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet FIFAbro took Over (buy) for $18.6k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 45.0%
- As American odds
- +122 no vig
- Size
- $18.6k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 23:13 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 26, 23:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- FIFAbro
- Tx
- 0x1dc645a0…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-32.1 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +55 ptsOver price · entry 45¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Under @ 52¢ | $11.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Under @ 49¢ | $14.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Under @ 53¢ | $30.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Under @ 42¢ | $28.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Over @ 58¢ | $98.9k 4.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Over @ 58¢ | $10.4k | excluded |