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What this means. A wallet put $18.6k on Over, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5excluded
$18.6k
BUY Over @ 45¢ · 41,416 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet FIFAbro took Over (buy) for $18.6k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $18.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
45¢
Implied odds
45.0%
As American odds
+122 no vig
Size
$18.6k
Placed
Jun 26, 23:13 EDT
Market close
Jun 26, 23:00 EDT
Result
Over
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
FIFAbro
Tx
0x1dc645a0…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-32.1 pts
expected 0.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +55 pts
Over price · entry 45¢ · resolved Over
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 45¢ · $18.6k WHALE $18.6K @ 45¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Under @ 52¢ $11.1k52% swisstony PROVEN119d agoexcluded
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5MED BUY Under @ 49¢ $14.8k49% zheng8888 NEW119d agoexcluded
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5MED BUY Under @ 53¢ $30.2k53% rabbitfoot1119d agoexcluded
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Under @ 42¢ $28.0k42% 0x3dfb…abaf119d agoexcluded
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5MED BUY Over @ 58¢ $98.9k
4.7× usual
58% omnibus-076daa PROVEN119d agoexcluded
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Over @ 58¢ $10.4k58% MeiGuNiuBi119d agoexcluded