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What this means. A wallet put $98.9k on Over, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5excluded
$98.9k
BUY Over @ 58¢ · 170,523 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet4.6× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet omnibus-076daa took Over (buy) for $98.9k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $98.9k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
58.0%
As American odds
−138 no vig
Size
$98.9k
Placed
Jun 26, 22:49 EDT
Market close
Jun 26, 23:00 EDT
Result
Over
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
omnibus-076daa
Tx
0x5592816d…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +42 pts
Over price · entry 58¢ · resolved Over
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 58¢ · $98.9k WHALE $98.9K @ 58¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Under @ 52¢ $11.1k52% swisstony PROVEN119d agoexcluded
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5MED BUY Under @ 49¢ $14.8k49% zheng8888 NEW119d agoexcluded
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Over @ 45¢ $18.6k45% FIFAbro119d agoexcluded
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5MED BUY Under @ 53¢ $30.2k53% rabbitfoot1119d agoexcluded
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Under @ 42¢ $28.0k42% 0x3dfb…abaf119d agoexcluded
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Over @ 58¢ $10.4k58% MeiGuNiuBi119d agoexcluded