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New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5excluded
What this means. A wallet put $98.9k on Over, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$98.9k
BUY Over @ 58¢ · 170,523 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet4.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took Over (buy) for $98.9k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $98.9k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- As American odds
- −138 no vig
- Size
- $98.9k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 22:49 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 26, 23:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x5592816d…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +42 ptsOver price · entry 58¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Under @ 52¢ | $11.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Under @ 49¢ | $14.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Over @ 45¢ | $18.6k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Under @ 53¢ | $30.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Under @ 42¢ | $28.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Over @ 58¢ | $10.4k | excluded |