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+$2,386BetBoom Team · avg 22¢ → 48¢ · $4,444+$9Nemiga · avg 34¢ → 44¢ · $37
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 7. The prices it paid implied about 4.3 wins, so it did -5.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-5.0 pts
Called / graded
4/7
Expected from price
4.3
Flagged volume
$604.3k
Sample size7 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.8 pts std. error.
Graded P&L at their stakes
−$26k7 graded bets in the order they resolved · 4 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Gr at 63¢) and the edge is -12.0 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
40–60¢
0% vs 50% · n=3
60–80¢
100% vs 72% · n=4
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1.32M
Last 30 days −$105.3k · $38.49M volume · 43,497 trades · since Mar 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$4.91M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$5.47M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
210d
3405 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 7 | 4 | 4.3 | -5.0 pts |
History
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