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Weekly report card

Week 2026-19

May 04, 00:00 EDT – May 10, 23:59 EDT · markets that resolved this week

Price-adjusted edge
-21.9 pts
Called
59/143
Expected from price
90.3
Std. error
±3.5

In week 2026-19, 143 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 59 times; entry prices implied 90.3. Whales did no better than the price (-21.9 pts). One week is a small sample.

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports954655.3-9.8 pts
Other481335.0-45.9 pts

Every graded flag

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?HIGH BUY Yes @ 64¢ $889.2k64% downtownfee167d agocalled
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)MED BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ $863.9k
18.4× usual
82% SecondWindCapital167d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?HIGH BUY Yes @ 64¢ $605.3k64% downtownfee167d agocalled
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?HIGH BUY Yes @ 60¢ $394.1k
3.2× usual
60% MildredBK173d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?MED BUY No @ 36¢ $227.8k
7.0× usual
36% NorthBalticMan9166d agomissed
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesMED BUY Spurs @ 64¢ $189.6k
5.6× usual
64% YYYYY999167d agomissed
76ers vs. KnicksMED BUY Knicks @ 74¢ $164.2k
7.8× usual
74% 0xb915…8da5170d agocalled
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)HIGH BUY Sean Strickland @ 18¢ $135.6k18% Golgatha NEW169d agocalled
76ers vs. KnicksMED BUY Knicks @ 72¢ $123.1k
3.7× usual
72% YYYYY999171d agocalled
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)MED BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 83¢ $117.2k
5.7× usual
83% thechainsmokers169d agomissed
Knicks vs. 76ersMED BUY Knicks @ 48¢ $101.6k
2.2× usual
48% SecondWindCapital169d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $100.0k
2.6× usual
92% MisterFixel176d agomissed
Knicks vs. 76ersLOW BUY 76ers @ 50¢ $93.5k
2.1× usual
50% 05143169d agomissed
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?MED BUY Yes @ 60¢ $90.5k
3.3× usual
60% HongYunX173d agomissed
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesMED BUY Spurs @ 66¢ $86.2k66% ChloeT1169d agocalled
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesMED BUY Spurs @ 63¢ $77.9k63% ChloeT1170d agocalled
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)MED BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ $77.7k82% jesto167d agomissed
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)MED BUY Sean Strickland @ 18¢ $70.5k18% TimeToFire167d agocalled
Knicks vs. 76ersLOW BUY 76ers @ 53¢ $64.1k53% gatorr168d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?HIGH BUY No @ 39¢ $61.3k39% 0x6f80…8a96 NEW171d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 92.5¢ $60.7k92% reketor190d agomissed
76ers vs. KnicksLOW BUY Knicks @ 76¢ $59.9k76% PrimeOasis1987170d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 91.7¢ $59.8k92% MisterFixel206d agomissed
76ers vs. KnicksMED BUY 76ers @ 21¢ $58.4k
2.4× usual
21% Maxdaboss1170d agomissed
76ers vs. KnicksLOW BUY Knicks @ 80¢ $54.0k80% gmpm170d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW BUY No @ 36¢ $52.9k36% Dvitaminbets167d agomissed
Lakers vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 88¢ $51.7k88% beetlepimp173d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ $51.4k61% therighteousdog172d agocalled
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)HIGH BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ $44.6k82% vvvbbbb NEW168d agomissed
Knicks vs. 76ersLOW BUY 76ers @ 51¢ $43.6k51% 05143169d agomissed
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ $41.1k
2.7× usual
82% VladimirPooper168d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?MED SELL No @ 36¢ $41.0k64% UnderperformingForALivin167d agocalled
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ $39.7k82% gallyambo168d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $39.0k90% MisterFixel199d agomissed
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ $37.2k62% frankfrankfrank173d agomissed
Knicks vs. 76ersMED BUY Knicks @ 50¢ $35.9k50% SecondWindCapital169d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $35.2k94% xyz9999193d agomissed
Knicks vs. 76ersLOW BUY 76ers @ 50¢ $35.0k
2.2× usual
50% TheOneto3169d agomissed
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ $34.6k60% comon119166d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 84¢ $34.0k84% MisterFixel231d agomissed
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)LOW BUY Mateusz Rebecki @ 41¢ $33.6k41% 05143168d agomissed
Knicks vs. 76ersLOW BUY Knicks @ 50¢ $33.2k50% SecondWindCapital169d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?MED SELL No @ 89¢ $32.5k
2.0× usual
11% yomayoto172d agocalled
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ $32.0k82% Cs2skin168d agomissed
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit TigersLOW BUY Boston Red Sox @ 36¢ $31.4k36% 0xf668…5c69172d agocalled
Golden Knights vs. DucksLOW BUY Golden Knights @ 51¢ $30.6k51% Feromont166d agomissed
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)MED BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 83¢ $29.7k83% faraaao NEW172d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?MED BUY Yes @ 61¢ $29.0k61% NorthBalticMan9172d agocalled
Knicks vs. 76ersLOW BUY 76ers @ 59¢ $27.3k59% Feromont168d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?MED BUY No @ 94¢ $26.5k94% wokerjoesleeper PROVEN172d agomissed
Lakers vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 88¢ $26.4k88% Markram173d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ $26.2k61% crappy171d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $26.0k
2.0× usual
89% NeonDrift99175d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 91.9¢ $25.7k92% cqs176d agomissed
Golden Knights vs. DucksLOW BUY Golden Knights @ 49¢ $25.5k49% Feromont166d agomissed
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesMED BUY Spurs @ 64¢ $25.4k64% ChloeT1169d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW BUY No @ 36¢ $24.1k36% sbsigner167d agomissed
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ $24.0k60% Milo100166d agocalled
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesMED BUY Timberwolves @ 36¢ $23.4k36% Zzzz87 PROVEN166d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 78¢ $22.2k78% 0x4fd1…4cf1272d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $21.3k93% AngryRhino172d agomissed
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?LOW BUY No @ 42¢ $21.0k42% sirko133166d agomissed
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ $20.8k82% coinlaundry170d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 96.4¢ $20.7k96% KiernanMeister178d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 94.9¢ $20.1k95% SmallFishInWhaleStomach171d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $20.0k96% forinnerpsandr1x11222170d agomissed
Knicks vs. 76ersLOW BUY Knicks @ 50¢ $20.0k50% aangelika169d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 94.8¢ $20.0k95% MisterFixel193d agomissed
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Sean Strickland @ 18¢ $19.4k18% 4zzzz167d agocalled
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 83¢ $19.0k83% thechainsmokers169d agomissed
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ $18.9k82% mooseborzoi LOSING173d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 93.9¢ $18.8k94% Goopster172d agomissed
Knicks vs. 76ersLOW BUY 76ers @ 50¢ $18.8k50% Painfulvoid169d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ $18.3k61% MisTKy PROVEN168d agocalled
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesLOW BUY Timberwolves @ 36¢ $18.0k36% wan123166d agocalled
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Sean Strickland @ 18¢ $18.0k18% IlikeVagina172d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ $18.0k53% 0x49f2…d7b4168d agocalled
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ $17.4k56% brokemaxdegen169d agocalled
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ $17.3k82% Laizans168d agomissed
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ $17.1k57% Milo100173d agomissed
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ $17.1k82% neutralwave23 PROVEN168d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ $17.0k57% basedd168d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $17.0k94% forinnerpsandr1x11222177d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW BUY No @ 37¢ $16.6k37% p1252167d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?LOW BUY No @ 40¢ $16.3k40% DOKTORDOOFENSCHMIRZ171d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 94.5¢ $16.1k95% yomayoto183d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ $16.0k64% benwyatt166d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 93.2¢ $15.5k7% tetrase175d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 82¢ $15.5k82% vladk245d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW BUY No @ 37¢ $15.1k37% Lolol12345167d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 76¢ $15.1k76% classified252d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ $15.0k64% 0xcf60…a6f5166d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ $15.0k60% Milo100172d agocalled
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ $15.0k62% pilotbaby173d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $15.0k92% Jolic204d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 94.1¢ $15.0k94% 0xa9f3…4bce175d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $14.8k96% Limonch203d agomissed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $14.7k93% rocks176d agomissed
76ers vs. KnicksLOW BUY Knicks @ 80¢ $14.7k80% 0xf559…f462170d agocalled
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesLOW BUY Spurs @ 65¢ $14.3k65% LinkE5166d agomissed

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Yesterday's biggest flags and how they graded. Misses included.