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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -51.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-51.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$128.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$174.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.83M volume · 3,678 trades · since May 05, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$208.0k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$33.3k
Closed-position win rate
53%
102 closed
Wallet age · markets
172d
105 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | -51.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | LOW BUY Anyones Legend @ 83¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
 Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers | LOW BUY Arizona Diamondbacks @ 50¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
 Spurs vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Spurs @ 65¢ | $13.1k | missed |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | LOW BUY No @ 37¢ | $15.1k | missed |
 UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims) | LOW SELL Jim Miller @ 99.9¢ | $40.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | LOW BUY JD Gaming @ 53¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe7e1eb…