← Wallets
+$75No · avg 94.4¢ → 95.2¢ · $9,520+$1,060No · avg 65¢ → 92¢ · $3,680−$40Yes · avg 87¢ → 86¢ · $3,440−$194No · avg 76¢ → 70¢ · $2,707−$423Yes · avg 35¢ → 30¢ · $2,270+$103No · avg 92.9¢ → 98¢ · $1,971+$16No · avg 60¢ → 60¢ · $1,967−$314No · avg 28¢ → 23¢ · $1,382
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +46.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+46.8 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$18.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$46.3k
Last 30 days +$5,494 · $10.22M volume · 17,523 trades · since Apr 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$189.2k
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$63.8k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
193d
2382 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +46.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $18.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x49f206…