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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +23.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+23.6 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$684.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±42.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$57.6k
Last 30 days −$6 · $5.70M volume · 2,595 trades · since Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$57.6k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$5
Closed-position win rate
73%
41 closed
Wallet age · markets
208d
40 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +23.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 76ers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 76¢ | $59.9k | called |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | MED BUY 76ers @ 32¢ | $44.8k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | LOW BUY Rockets @ 58¢ | $94.5k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | LOW SELL 76ers @ 33¢ | $66.8k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | MED BUY 76ers @ 31¢ | $46.5k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | LOW SELL Trail Blazers @ 47¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 43¢ | $69.3k | missed |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | MED SELL 76ers @ 24¢ | $73.1k | called |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | MED BUY 76ers @ 26¢ | $80.6k | missed |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | MED SELL Lakers @ 43¢ | $50.2k | excluded |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Lakers @ 35¢ | $72.6k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8c5e8c…