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What this means. A wallet put $29.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 61% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.0k
BUY Yes @ 61¢ · 47,885 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet NorthBalticMan9 took Yes (buy) for $29.0k at an average 61¢. At that price the market implied a 61% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $29.0k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 61¢ means
61%chance the market gave
−153American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 61¢
- Implied odds
- 60.5%
- As American odds
- −153 no vig
- Size
- $29.0k
- Placed
- May 04, 13:08 EDT
- Market close
- May 05, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- NorthBalticMan9
- Tx
- 0x6ed4efe9…
This wallet's graded record
2/7-24.1 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +39 ptsYes price · entry 61¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.7k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $160.9k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | MED BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $23.5k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $1.60M 5.0× usual |
excluded |