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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 10,020 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet numbernine took Yes (sell) for $10.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- May 05, 17:09 EDT
- Market close
- May 05, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- numbernine
- Tx
- 0x0ea94f09…
This wallet's graded record
1/4+1.9 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.7k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $160.9k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | MED BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $23.5k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $1.60M 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW SELL Yes @ 77¢ | $12.7k | excluded |