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What this means. A wallet put $12.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 23% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.7k
SELL Yes @ 77¢ · 16,465 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ND202 took Yes (sell) for $12.7k at an average 77¢. At that price the market implied a 23% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 77¢
- Implied odds
- 23.0%
- As American odds
- +335 no vig
- Size
- $12.7k
- Placed
- May 05, 16:01 EDT
- Market close
- May 05, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ND202
- Tx
- 0xba07b02b…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -23 ptsYes price · entry 77¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.7k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $160.9k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | MED BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $23.5k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $1.60M 5.0× usual |
excluded |