← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 5. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did -5.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-5.6 pts
Called / graded
1/5
Expected from price
1.3
Flagged volume
$399.0k
Sample size5 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±18.9 pts std. error.
Graded P&L at their stakes
−$14k5 graded bets in the order they resolved · 1 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (76ers vs. Celtics at 12¢) and the edge is -29.0 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
0–20¢
50% vs 16% · n=2
20–40¢
0% vs 26% · n=2
40–60¢
0% vs 44% · n=1
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$57.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $6.96M volume · 2,144 trades · since Jan 21, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$892.4k
Open P&L · 39 positions
−$843.1k
Closed-position win rate
51%
126 closed
Wallet age · markets
276d
164 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 5 | 1 | 1.3 | -5.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 32¢ | $12.3k | missed |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 37¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | LOW SELL Pistons @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | LOW BUY Pistons @ 39¢ | $43.1k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | MED BUY Lakers @ 18¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | MED BUY 76ers @ 21¢ | $58.4k 2.4× usual |
missed |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | MED BUY Timberwolves @ 23¢ | $51.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 19¢ | $23.8k | missed |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | LOW BUY Lakers @ 42¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | LOW BUY Lakers @ 44¢ | $24.1k | missed |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 47¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | LOW BUY 76ers @ 12¢ | $14.2k | called |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $30.4k | excluded |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x2580d0e16709994f5b8a0206271ad14e2b911d56"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x2580d0e16709994f5b8a0206271ad14e2b911d56.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2580d0…