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What this means. A wallet put $24.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.4 pts over 28 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?missed
$24.1k
BUY No @ 36¢ · 66,981 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hSports

What happened

Wallet sbsigner took No (buy) for $24.1k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $24.1k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 36¢ means
36%chance the market gave
+178American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
36¢
Implied odds
36.0%
As American odds
+178 no vig
Size
$24.1k
Placed
May 10, 05:57 EDT
Market close
May 10, 11:30 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
sbsigner
Tx
0x67de445d…
This wallet's graded record
11/28-3.4 pts
expected 11.9 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -36 pts
No price · entry 36¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 36¢ · $24.1k WHALE $24.1K @ 36¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $94.1k0% jembolen NEW166d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.5k0% BruceWayne77166d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $27.9k0% Gh0stTradez166d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $14.4k0% VoidEclipse167d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $27.6k0% MilesY167d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $22.1k0% qscbn167d agoexcluded