← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did -76.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-76.7 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$242.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$11.0k
Last 30 days +$524 · $3.94M volume · 4,336 trades · since Jun 21, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$11.0k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
66%
125 closed
Wallet age · markets
491d
121 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -84.0 pts |
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -69.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $17.9k | missed |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 80¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW SELL No @ 97.8¢ | $28.1k | excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 84¢ | $20.3k | missed |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ | $27.7k | called |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 81¢ | $20.2k | missed |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW BUY No @ 69¢ | $39.4k 2.2× usual |
missed |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x8c9233e5b93bdc9ddc202079a426bc4a6f2bebd9"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x8c9233e5b93bdc9ddc202079a426bc4a6f2bebd9.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8c9233…