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What this means. A wallet put $34.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 84% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$34.0k
BUY No @ 84¢ · 40,585 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet MisterFixel took No (buy) for $34.0k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 84% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $34.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 84¢ means
84%chance the market gave
−515American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 84¢
- Implied odds
- 83.8%
- Size
- $34.0k
- Placed
- Mar 06, 13:13 EST
- Market close
- May 08, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisterFixel
- Tx
- 0xd59623e5…
This wallet's graded record
1/6-74.8 pts
expected 5.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $138.2k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $106.5k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.2k | excluded |