← Wallets
+$9,854Yes · avg 6¢ → 46¢ · $11.3k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +1.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+1.0 pts
Called / graded
1/4
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$255.3k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$71.0k
Last 30 days +$2,486 · $4.99M volume · 849 trades · since Sep 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$311.5k
Open P&L · 21 positions
−$398.3k
Closed-position win rate
80%
15 closed
Wallet age · markets
402d
35 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.2 | +82.0 pts |
| Crypto | 3 | 0 | 0.8 | -26.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Sean Strickland @ 18¢ | $19.4k | called |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | LOW BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $11.7k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | LOW BUY Yes @ 22¢ | $15.3k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | LOW BUY Yes @ 24¢ | $14.6k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | MED BUY Yes @ 28¢ | $30.2k 2.0× usual |
missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | MED SELL Yes @ 40¢ | $42.1k 2.8× usual |
called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | MED BUY Yes @ 32¢ | $36.0k 2.4× usual |
missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | LOW BUY Yes @ 37¢ | $14.8k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | LOW SELL No @ 66¢ | $14.9k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 48¢ | $10.6k | called |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW BUY Yes @ 31¢ | $13.3k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW BUY Yes @ 35¢ | $10.8k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February? | LOW SELL Yes @ 88¢ | $21.5k | missed |
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