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What this means. A wallet put $10.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?missed
$10.8k
BUY Yes @ 35¢ · 30,779 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Crypto

What happened

Wallet 4zzzz took Yes (buy) for $10.8k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
35¢
Implied odds
35.0%
Size
$10.8k
Placed
Feb 11, 02:26 EST
Market close
Mar 01, 00:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
4zzzz
Tx
0x212a0c5d…
This wallet's graded record
1/4+1.0 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.2k0% tradexplorer238d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $57.9k
2.4× usual
100% Tttyh238d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $25.5k100% 0x1461…22d8238d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $49.4k
2.7× usual
0% big.bitch238d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.2k0% 500AndADream238d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $11.7k0% 0xe617…f251238d agoexcluded