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tradexplorer

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?−$12No · avg 75¢ → 75¢ · $12.1kVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?−$3,649No · avg 60¢ → 44¢ · $10.4kExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?+$30No · avg 90.7¢ → 91¢ · $9,991Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?−$7,184No · avg 52¢ → 30¢ · $9,292StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?+$783No · avg 88¢ → 97.6¢ · $7,808Trump out as President before 2027?+$637No · avg 83¢ → 95.8¢ · $4,787StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?+$728No · avg 83¢ → 97.7¢ · $4,737Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?+$1,325No · avg 68¢ → 94.5¢ · $4,725 · 1 proven with, 0 against
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$146.7k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$53.0k
Last 30 days +$3,030 · $12.05M volume · 25,345 trades · since Dec 08, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$215.9k
Open P&L · 51 positions
−$38.6k
Closed-position win rate
78%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
320d
670 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $15.7k99% 209d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $11.1k100% 230d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.2k0% 237d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k0% 237d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $41.4k
3.0× usual
100% 244d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $10.7k100% 257d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $10.5k99% 257d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $14.0k100% 273d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $11.2k100% 273d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?excluded
BUY No @ 98.7¢$15.7k
LOW tradexplorer · 209d ago
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$11.1k
LOW tradexplorer · 230d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$17.2k
LOW tradexplorer · 237d ago
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$15.0k
LOW tradexplorer · 237d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$41.4k
LOW tradexplorer · 244d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$10.7k
LOW tradexplorer · 257d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?excluded
BUY No @ 99.4¢$10.5k
LOW tradexplorer · 257d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$14.0k
LOW tradexplorer · 273d ago
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$11.2k
LOW tradexplorer · 273d ago

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