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What this means. A wallet put $13.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.3k
BUY Yes @ 31¢ · 42,872 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet 4zzzz took Yes (buy) for $13.3k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied a 31% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 31¢ means
31%chance the market gave
+222American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 31¢
- Implied odds
- 31.0%
- Size
- $13.3k
- Placed
- Feb 13, 03:37 EST
- Market close
- Mar 01, 00:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 4zzzz
- Tx
- 0x28734ed7…
This wallet's graded record
1/4+1.0 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $57.9k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $25.5k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $49.4k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.7k | excluded |