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What this means. A wallet put $17.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?missed
$17.1k
BUY Yes @ 57¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet Milo100 took Yes (buy) for $17.1k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
57¢
Implied odds
57.0%
As American odds
−133 no vig
Size
$17.1k
Placed
May 04, 02:39 EDT
Market close
May 04, 10:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Milo100
Tx
0x8204fa55…
This wallet's graded record
5/9+3.1 pts
expected 4.7 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -57 pts
Yes price · entry 57¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 57¢ · $17.1k WHALE $17.1K @ 57¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% Supah9ga173d agoexcluded
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $28.1k0% 0xb652…2db4173d agoexcluded
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $99.9k
3.9× usual
0% Supah9ga173d agoexcluded
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $239.8k
11.1× usual
0% jtwyslljy173d agoexcluded
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $59.1k
2.8× usual
0% olegio173d agoexcluded
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.2k0% Annon12173d agoexcluded