← Wallets
−$355Yes · avg 12¢ → 5¢ · $270
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did -33.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-33.7 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$616.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$105.7k
Last 30 days −$161 · $2.91M volume · 1,902 trades · since Aug 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$75.8k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$28.5k
Closed-position win rate
41%
86 closed
Wallet age · markets
441d
89 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 1 | 1.7 | -33.7 pts |
History
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