← Wallets
−$3,510Yes · avg 17¢ → 10¢ · $5,265
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did -83.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-83.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$156.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$58.7k
Last 30 days +$816 · $4.06M volume · 2,362 trades · since Nov 13, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$62.9k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$3,510
Closed-position win rate
60%
58 closed
Wallet age · markets
346d
56 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.7 | -83.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 81¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 83¢ | $19.0k | missed |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | MED BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 83¢ | $117.2k 5.7× usual |
missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xdd8184…